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Southeastern Europe is going through its most profound period of change since Slobodan Milošević’s overthrow in 2000. The pillars supporting Balkan stability over the past decade – the large US military presence in the region, the promise of foreseeable EU accession, and the international consensus on agreements guaranteeing Balkan stability (such as the Dayton Peace Agreement, UN Security Council Resolution 1244, and the Ohrid Accords in FYR Macedonia) – are under attack or are being increasingly questioned. Meanwhile, no new security architecture has been erected, while several new developments, including Russia’s return to the Balkans and the creation of two new states, is throwing new unknown strategic variables into the Balkan security equation. Without serious re‐engagement by the EU and the US in the region, southeastern Europe’s democratic and market transitions could still be derailed.
Gordon N. Bardos (Mon,) studied this question.