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Using perturbation theory, an expression for the variance of the power of each mode of a multimode waveguide with randomly-coupled modes is derived. The variance builds up from zero to a constant value as a function of z (length along the waveguide). For most cases of interest, the variance is equal to the square of the average power. This means that the power of each mode of a system of randomly-coupled modes of a multimode waveguide fluctuates like the short-term time averaged power of a narrowband electrical signal the voltage of which is a random variable with Gaussian probability distribution.
D. Marcuse (Sun,) studied this question.
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