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A prognostic index for 2-year survival after recovery from acute myocardial infarction was constructed from variables obtained during its course. One hundred ten of 143 patients survived 2 years, and 27 of 33 patients died of cardiac-related causes. Univariate analysis showed that 12 variables were significantly different between the surviving and nonsurviving groups. Discriminant analysis indicated five variables with meaningful predictive value to be included in a prognostic index: admission systolic blood pressure; highest blood urea nitrogen level in the cardiac care unit: atrial arrhythmias in the cardiac care unit; angina pectoris for more than 3 months or a previous myocardial infarction; and more than one ventricular ectopic beat per hour recorded on a dynamic electrocardiogram during the 17th to 24th hospital day. The prognostic index emphasizes the importance of extensive myocardial impairment and provides a means for identifying patients at risk of early mortality.
Myron H. Luria (1976) studied this question.