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The conventional wisdom on World War II in Europe sees little prospect of the Germans Winning in 1939-1940 and virtually none after the attack on the Soviet Union in June 1941. In his book, Hitler’s Panzers East: World War II Reinterpreted, Russel Stolfi advances the thesis that in June 1941 the Germans had the physical capabilities at the right time and place to win the Second World War. Stolfi states the German invasion of the Soviet Union, operation name Barbarossa, whether successful or unsuccessful had the tactical, operational, and strategic qualities that make it the hinge of fate in World War II. He claims the Germans had the fundamental physical strength to defeat the Red Army and seize the Moscow-Gorki area, and yet, they neither took Moscow nor won the campaign. At the time, the Soviets had no control over their own destiny. They fought hard but ineffectually against German armies that advanced relentlessly through their defense. Under such circumstances, Stolfi believes Germany must have failed for some reason, some outlandish misjudgment, or aberration demanding a fundamental reevaluation of World War II.
Wilt et al. (Tue,) studied this question.