Traffic Accident Prediction Using 3-D Model-Based Vehicle Tracking

Intelligent visual surveillance for road vehicles is the key to developing autonomous intelligent traffic systems. Recently, traffic incident detection employing computer vision and image processing has attracted much attention. In this paper, a probabilistic model for predicting traffic accidents using three-dimensional (3-D) model-based vehicle tracking is proposed. Sample data including motion trajectories are first obtained by 3-D model-based vehicle tracking. A fuzzy self-organizing neural network algorithm is then applied to learn activity patterns from the sample trajectories. Finally, vehicle activity is predicted by locating and matching each partial trajectory with the learned activity patterns, and the occurrence probability of a traffic accident is determined. Experiments show the effectiveness of the proposed algorithms.