Single-event effects ground testing and on-orbit rate prediction methods: the past, present, and future

Over the past 27 years, or so, increased concern over single-event effects (SEEs) in spacecraft systems has resulted in research, development, and engineering activities centered around a better understanding of the space radiation environment, SEE predictive methods, ground test protocols, and test facility developments. This research has led to fairly well developed methods for assessing the impact of the space radiation environment on systems that contain SEE sensitive devices and the development of mitigation strategies either at the system or device level. However, as new technology has emerged, these ground test and predictive methods have certain short falls.