In a Tanzanian cohort of adults with heart failure, the mortality rate was 22.4 per 100 person-years, with atrial fibrillation (HR 3.4) and anaemia (HR 2.3) identified as key modifiable predictors.
Observational (n=427)
No
Heart failure (n=427)
All-cause mortality
Objective This study aimed to describe the contemporary aetiology, clinical characteristics and mortality and its predictors in heart failure (HF) in Tanzania. Methods Design ; Prospective observational study. Setting ; Cardiovascular Center of the Muhimbili National Hospital in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania. Patients ≥18 years of age with HF defined by the Framingham criteria. Main outcome measure All-cause mortality. Results Among 427 included patients, 217 (51%) were females and the mean (SD) age was 55 (17) years. HF aetiologies included hypertension (45%), cardiomyopathy (28%), rheumatic heart disease (RHD) (12%) and ischaemic heart disease (9%). Concurrent atrial fibrillation (AF), clinically significant anaemia, diabetes, tuberculosis and HIV were found in 16%, 12%, 12%, 3% and 2%, respectively, while warfarin was used in 3% of the patients. The mortality rate, 22.4 per 100 person-years over a median follow-up of 7 months, was independently associated with AF, HR 3.4 (95% CI 1.6 to 7.0); in-patient 3.2 (1.5 to 6.8); anaemia 2.3 (1.2 to 4.5); pulmonary hypertension 2.1 (1.1 to 4.2) creatinine clearance 0.98 (0.97 to 1.00) and lack of education 2.3 (1.3 to 4.2). Conclusions In HF in Tanzania, patients are younger than in the developed world, but aetiologies are becoming more similar, with hypertension becoming more and RHD less important. Predictors of mortality possible to intervene against are anaemia, AF and lack of education.
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Abel Makubi
Muhimbili University of Health and Allied Sciences
Camilla Hage
Heart Failure & Transplant
Johnson Lwakatare
University of Bahrain
Heart
University of Oxford
Karolinska Institutet
Karolinska University Hospital
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Makubi et al. (Thu,) conducted a observational in Heart failure (n=427). In a Tanzanian cohort of adults with heart failure, the mortality rate was 22.4 per 100 person-years, with atrial fibrillation (HR 3.4) and anaemia (HR 2.3) identified as key modifiable predictors.
synapsesocial.com/papers/6a0efd1253f874f2b2230a83 — DOI: https://doi.org/10.1136/heartjnl-2014-305599