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A sample of 413 soundings in close proximity to tornadic and nontornadic supercells is examined. The soundings were obtained from hourly analyses generated by the 40-km Rapid Update Cycle-2 (RUC-2) analysis and forecast system. A comparison of 149 observed soundings and collocated RUC-2 soundings in regional supercell environments reveals that the RUC-2 model analyses were reasonably accurate through much of the troposphere. The largest error tendencies were in temperatures and mixing ratios near the surface, primarily in 1-h forecast soundings immediately prior to the standard rawinsonde launches around 1200 and 0000 UTC. Overall, the RUC-2 analysis soundings appear to be a reasonable proxy for observed soundings in supercell environments.
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Richard L. Thompson
Durham University
Roger Edwards
University of Bahrain
John A. Hart
NOAA National Weather Service
Weather and Forecasting
Pennsylvania State University
NOAA National Severe Storms Laboratory
NOAA Storm Prediction Center
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Thompson et al. (Mon,) studied this question.
synapsesocial.com/papers/69d813f861e2ce1627d18a9f — DOI: https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0434(2003)018<1243:cpswse>2.0.co;2
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