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According to Bayesian epistemology, the epistemically rational agent updates her beliefs by conditionalization: that is, her posterior subjective probability after taking account of evidence X, p new, is to be set equal to her prior conditional probability p old (|X). Bayesians can be challenged to provide a justification for their claim that conditionalization is recommended by rationality-whence the normative force of the injunction to conditionalize?
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H. R. G. Greaves
Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey
David Wallace
University of Pittsburgh
Mind
Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey
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Greaves et al. (Sat,) studied this question.
synapsesocial.com/papers/69da00c3a1d151c65f68573d — DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/mind/fzl607