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Existing innovation diffusion models assume that individual experience with the product is always communicated positively through word-of-mouth. For certain innovations, however, this assumption is tenuous since communicators of the product experience may transfer favorable, unfavorable, or indifferent messages through word-of-mouth. This paper examines a diffusion model for products in which negative information plays a dominant role, discusses its implications for optimal advertising timing policy and presents an application to forecast attendance for the movie Gandhi in the Dallas area.
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Vijay Mahajan
Eitan Muller
Roger A. Kerin
Management Science
Hebrew University of Jerusalem
Southern Methodist University
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Mahajan et al. (Sat,) studied this question.
www.synapsesocial.com/papers/6a097cbe87ad1657d251618d — DOI: https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.30.12.1389