Late mortality after severe traumatic brain injury in New South Wales: a multicentre study

OBJECTIVES: To determine the long-term mortality pattern of adults with severe traumatic brain injury (TBI), and to identify the risk factors associated with death in this group. DESIGN, PATIENTS AND SETTING: Inception cohort study of 2545 adults consecutively discharged from one of three metropolitan tertiary, post-acute inpatient rehabilitation services of the New South Wales Brain Injury Rehabilitation Program from 1 January 1990 to 1 October 2007 after inpatient rehabilitation for primary TBI. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Survival status at 1 October 2009. RESULTS: 258 deaths were recorded in this sample, yielding a standardised mortality ratio of 3.19 (95% CI, 2.80-3.60). Risk of death remained elevated above societal norms for at least 8 years after discharge from rehabilitation. Mortality risk was increased by: functional dependence at discharge; age at injury; pre-injury drug and alcohol misuse; pre-injury epilepsy; and discharge to an aged care facility. The risk of death from external causes, and respiratory system and nervous system disorders was six to seven times higher, and the risk of death from disorders of the digestive system, and mental and behavioural disorders was five times higher in adults with severe TBI than in the general population. CONCLUSIONS: People who survive to discharge from inpatient rehabilitation following a severe TBI were found to have a sustained increase in risk of death for eight years post discharge. Various demographic and injury-related variables selectively increase mortality risk and may be modifiable in order to reduce the observed increase in mortality.