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BACKGROUND: The onset of disability in activities of daily living (ADLs) is considered a sentinel event in the life of an older person, but recent evidence suggests that newly disabled elders have high rates of recovery. We performed a longitudinal study to determine the burden and patterns of ADL disability among previously nondisabled, community-living older persons. METHODS: We studied 754 community-living persons, aged 70 years or older, who were categorized into three groups according to their risk for disability (low, intermediate, high). Participants were interviewed each month for 2 years to determine the presence and severity of disability in four key ADLs: bathing, dressing, walking, or transferring. RESULTS: Among the 690 nondecedents, the rates of any disability were 17.7%, 48.7%, and 65.2%, respectively, for the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups. Whereas only 6.9% of nondecedents in the low-risk group had more than 1 month of disability, 38.2% and 50.6% of nondecedents in the intermediate- and high-risk groups (i.e., physically frail), respectively, had multiple months and/or episodes of disability. The patterns of disability were quite diverse, with no single pattern representing the disability experience of more than half the decedents or nondecedents in any of the risk groups. CONCLUSIONS: Disability among community-living older persons, particularly those who are physically frail, is a highly dynamic process with considerable diversity. Our results provide strong evidence to support an emerging paradigm of disability as a reversible, and often recurrent, event.
Gill et al. (Wed,) studied this question.