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A double logistic function has been used to describe global inventory mapping and monitoring studies (GIMMS) normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) yearly evolution for the 1981 to 2003 period, in order to estimate land surface phenology parameter. A principal component analysis on the resulting time series indicates that the first components explain 36, 53 and 37% of the variance for the start, end and length of growing season, respectively, and shows generally good spatial homogeneity. Mann–Kendall trend tests have been carried out, and trends were estimated by linear regression. Maps of these trends show a global advance in spring dates of 0.38 days per year, a global delay in autumn dates of 0.45 days per year and a global increase of 0.8 days per year in the growing seasons validated by comparison with previous works. Correlations between retrieved phenological parameters and climate indices generally showed a good spatial coherence.
Julien et al. (Wed,) studied this question.