III. Is Health Spending Slowing Down?

We analyze trends in real per capita health care spending. Using a different and, we believe, more appropriate adjustment for trends in general inflation than the Health Care Financing Administration (HCFA) analysts use, we reach a different conclusion: The purported slowdown in health care spending in the 1990s is modest at best through 1993. Other measures of health care spending, such as the medical care Consumer Price Index, private health care premiums, and hospital cost growth, are unreliable measures of overall health care spending.