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This paper analyzes the effectiveness and future potential of the Paris Climate Change Agreement compared to previous efforts.

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April 1, 2016

The Paris Climate Change Agreement: A New Hope?

Key Points

This paper analyzes the effectiveness and future potential of the Paris Climate Change Agreement compared to previous efforts.
Comparative analysis of the Paris Agreement and the Kyoto Protocol
Examination of negotiation strategies and outcomes
Assessment of the foundational principles guiding both agreements
The Paris Agreement's modest targets offer a more attainable framework for countries
It is too soon to determine the long-term success of these agreements
The Agreement may catalyze further action compared to earlier attempts

Abstract

Know your limits. This familiar adage is not an inspirational rallying cry or a recipe for bold action. It serves better as the motto for the tortoise than the hare. But, after many false starts over the past twenty years, states were well advised to heed it when negotiating the Paris Agreement. While it is still far too early to say whether the Agreement will be a success, its comparatively modest approach provides a firmer foundation on which to build than its more ambitious predecessor, the Kyoto Protocol.

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