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A multivalued mapping from a space X to a space S carries a probability measure defined over subsets of X into a system of upper and lower probabilities over subsets of S. Some basic properties of such systems are explored in Sections 1 and 2. Other approaches to upper and lower probabilities are possible and some of these are related to the present approach in Section 3. A distinctive feature of the present approach is a rule for conditioning, or more generally, a rule for combining sources of information, as discussed in Sections 4 and 5. Finally, the context in statistical inference from which the present theory arose is sketched briefly in Section 6.
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A. P. Dempster
Harvard University
The Annals of Mathematical Statistics
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A. P. Dempster (Sat,) studied this question.
synapsesocial.com/papers/6a0215838d267ec217d8d278 — DOI: https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177698950