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Understanding the climatological characteristics of marine cold air outbreaks (CAOs) is of critical importance to constrain the processes determining the heat flux forcing of the high-latitude oceans. In this study, a comprehensive multidecadal climatology of wintertime CAO air masses is presented for the Irminger Sea and Nordic seas. To investigate the origin, transport pathways, and thermodynamic evolution of CAO air masses, a novel methodology based on kinematic trajectories is introduced. The major conclusions are as follows: (i) The most intense CAOs occur as a result of Arctic outflows following Greenland’s eastern coast from the Fram Strait southward and west of Novaya Zemlya. Weak CAOs also originate in flow across the SST gradient associated with the Arctic Front separating the Greenland and Iceland Seas from the Norwegian Sea. A substantial fraction of Irminger CAO air masses originate in the Canadian Arctic and overflow southern Greenland. (ii) CAOs account for 60%–80% of the wintertime oceanic heat loss associated with few intense CAOs west of Svalbard and in the Greenland, Iceland, and Barents Seas and frequent weak CAOs in the Norwegian and Irminger Seas. (iii) The amount of sensible heat extracted by CAO air masses is set by their intensity and their pathway over the underlying SST distribution, whereas the amount of latent heat is additionally capped by the SST. (iv) Among all CAO air masses, those in the Greenland and Iceland Seas extract the most sensible heat from the ocean and undergo the most intense diabatic warming. Irminger Sea CAO air masses experience only moderate diabatic warming but pick up more moisture than the other CAO air masses.
Papritz et al. (Mon,) studied this question.