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We compute the expected randomized benchmarking sequence fidelity for a system subject to Gaussian time-correlated noise. For single qubit benchmarking we show that the expected sequence fidelity is given by the partition function of a long-range coupled spin-one Ising model, with each site in the Ising model corresponding to a free evolution interval. For d-state systems, the expected sequence fidelity is given by an Ising-like model partition function whose site variables are given by the weights of the adjoint representation of SU(d). A high effective temperature expansion for the partition function in the single qubit case shows decay of sequence fidelity varying from exponential for uncorrelated noise to a power law for quasistatic noise. Fitting an exponential to the sequence fidelity decay under correlated noise gives unreliable estimates of the average gate error rate.
Fong et al. (Tue,) studied this question.