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We use a theorem from M. J. Schervish to explore the relationship between accuracy and practical success. If an agent is pragmatically rational, she will quantify the expected loss of her credence with a strictly proper scoring rule. Which scoring rule is right for her will depend on the sorts of decisions she expects to face. We relate this pragmatic conception of inaccuracy to the purely epistemic one popular among epistemic utility theorists.
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Benjamin A. Levinstein
Philosophy of Science
Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey
At Bristol
New Brunswick Theological Seminary
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Benjamin A. Levinstein (Wed,) studied this question.
www.synapsesocial.com/papers/69da00c3a1d151c65f685734 — DOI: https://doi.org/10.1086/693444