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Using a 25-y time series of precision satellite altimeter data from TOPEX/Poseidon, Jason-1, Jason-2, and Jason-3, we estimate the climate-change-driven acceleration of global mean sea level over the last 25 y to be 0.084 ± 0.025 mm/y2 Coupled with the average climate-change-driven rate of sea level rise over these same 25 y of 2.9 mm/y, simple extrapolation of the quadratic implies global mean sea level could rise 65 ± 12 cm by 2100 compared with 2005, roughly in agreement with the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 5th Assessment Report (AR5) model projections.
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R. S. Nerem
Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences
B. D. Beckley
Goddard Space Flight Center
John Fasullo
NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
University of Colorado Boulder
Goddard Space Flight Center
NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research
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Nerem et al. (Mon,) studied this question.
synapsesocial.com/papers/69d8437fd56ca42147d17ee1 — DOI: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1717312115
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