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This paper offers a systematic evaluation of the evidence on the effects of currency unions on the synchronisation of economic activity. Focusing on Europe, we construct a database of about 3000 business cycles synchronisation coefficients including their design and estimation characteristics. We find that: (1) synchronisation increased from about 0.4 before the introduction of the euro in 1999 to 0.6 afterwards; (2) this increase occurred in both euro and non-euro countries (larger in former); and (3) there is evidence of country-specific publication bias.
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Nauro F. Campos
Jarko Fidrmuc
Iikka Korhonen
International Review of Financial Analysis
ETH Zurich
Brunel University of London
Bank of Finland
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Campos et al. (Wed,) studied this question.
www.synapsesocial.com/papers/69d80cb945af6083e6ae2b55 — DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2018.11.012
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