Flood inundation forecasts using validation data generated with the assistance of computer vision

Abstract Forecasting flood inundation in urban areas is challenging due to the lack of validation data. Recent developments have led to new genres of data sources, such as images and videos from smartphones and CCTV cameras. If the reference dimensions of objects, such as bridges or buildings, in images are known, the images can be used to estimate water levels using computer vision algorithms. Such algorithms employ deep learning and edge detection techniques to identify the water surface in an image, which can be used as additional validation data for forecasting inundation. In this study, a methodology is presented for flood inundation forecasting that integrates validation data generated with the assistance of computer vision. Six equifinal models are run simultaneously, one of which is selected for forecasting based on a goodness-of-fit (least error), estimated using the validation data. Collection and processing of images is done offline on a regular basis or following a flood event. The results show that the accuracy of inundation forecasting can be improved significantly using additional validation data.