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The effectiveness of vaccines against COVID-19 on the individual level is well established. However, few studies have examined vaccine effectiveness against transmission. We used a chain binomial model to estimate the effectiveness of vaccination with BNT162b2 Pfizer-BioNTech messenger RNA (mRNA)-based vaccine against household transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in Israel before and after emergence of the B.1.617.2 (Delta) variant. Vaccination reduced susceptibility to infection by 89.4% 95% confidence interval (CI): 88.7 to 90.0%, whereas vaccine effectiveness against infectiousness given infection was 23.0% (95% CI: -11.3 to 46.7%) during days 10 to 90 after the second dose, before 1 June 2021. Total vaccine effectiveness was 91.8% (95% CI: 88.1 to 94.3%). However, vaccine effectiveness is reduced over time as a result of the combined effect of waning of immunity and emergence of the Delta variant.
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Ottavia Prunas
Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute
Joshua L. Warren
Yale University
Forrest W. Crawford
Yale University
Science
Yale University
Maccabi Institute for Health Services Research
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Prunas et al. (Thu,) studied this question.
synapsesocial.com/papers/69d857d28cb8f39931ae30f6 — DOI: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abl4292