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Abstract. The root-mean-squared error (RMSE) and mean absolute error (MAE) are widely used metrics for evaluating models. Yet, there remains enduring confusion over their use, such that a standard practice is to present both, leaving it to the reader to decide which is more relevant. In a recent reprise to the 200-year debate over their use, Willmott and Matsuura (2005) and Chai and Draxler (2014) give arguments for favoring one metric or the other. However, this comparison can present a false dichotomy. Neither metric is inherently better: RMSE is optimal for normal (Gaussian) errors, and MAE is optimal for Laplacian errors. When errors deviate from these distributions, other metrics are superior.
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Timothy Hodson
Northern Illinois University
SHILAP Revista de lepidopterología
Geoscientific model development
United States Geological Survey
Central Midwest Water Science Center
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Timothy Hodson (Tue,) studied this question.
synapsesocial.com/papers/69d6fc54a0177bf533ed97c1 — DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-5481-2022