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Non-invasive and simple methods enabling easy identification of individuals at high risk of cognitive decline are needed as preventive measures against dementia. This pilot study aimed to explore protein biomarkers that can predict cognitive decline using urine, which can be collected non-invasively. Study subjects were selected from participants in a cohort study of middle-aged and older community-dwelling adults who underwent cognitive testing using the Mini-Mental State Examination and provided spot urine samples at two time points with an interval of approximately 5 years. Seven participants whose cognitive function declined 4 or more points from baseline (Group D) and 7 sex- and age-matched participants whose cognitive function remained within the normal range during the same period (Group M) were selected. Urinary proteomics using mass spectrometry was performed and discriminant models were created using orthogonal partial least squares-discriminant analysis (OPLS-DA). OPLS-DA yielded two models that significantly discriminated between the two groups at baseline and follow-up. Both models had ORM1, ORM2, and SERPINA3 in common. A further OPLS-DA model using baseline ORM1, ORM2, and SERPINA3 data showed similar predictive performance for data at follow-up as it did for baseline data (sensitivity: 0.85, specificity: 0.85), with the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis yielding an area under the curve of 0.878. This prospective study demonstrated the potential for using urine to identify biomarkers of cognitive decline.
Watanabe et al. (Thu,) studied this question.