Estimation of Winter Wheat Plant Nitrogen Concentration from UAV Hyperspectral Remote Sensing Combined with Machine Learning Methods

Nitrogen is one of the most important macronutrients and plays an essential role in the growth and development of winter wheat. It is very crucial to diagnose the nitrogen status timely and accurately for applying a precision nitrogen management (PNM) strategy to the guidance of nitrogen fertilizer in the field. The main purpose of this study was to use three different prediction methods to evaluate winter wheat plant nitrogen concentration (PNC) at booting, heading, flowering, filling, and the whole growth stage in the Guanzhong area from unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) hyperspectral imagery. These methods include (1) the parametric regression method; (2) linear nonparametric regression methods (stepwise multiple linear regression (SMLR) and partial least squares regression (PLSR)); and (3) machine learning methods (random forest regression (RFR), support vector machine regression (SVMR), and extreme learning machine regression (ELMR)). The purpose of this study was also to pay attention to the impact of different growth stages on the accuracy of the model. The results showed that compared with parametric regression and linear nonparametric regression, the machine learning regression method could evidently improve the estimation accuracy of winter wheat PNC, especially using SVMR and RFR, the training set of the model at flowering and filling stage explained 93% and 92% of the PNC variability respectively. The testing set of the model at flowering and filling stages explained 88% and 91% of the PNC variability, the root mean square error of the validation set (RMSEtesting) was 0.82 and 1.23, and the relative prediction deviation (RPD) was 2.58 and 2.40, respectively. Therefore, a conclusion was drawn that it was the best choice to estimate winter wheat PNC at the flowering and filling stage from UAV hyperspectral imagery. Using machine learning methods, SVMR and RFR, respectively, could achieve the most outstanding estimation performance, which could provide a theoretical basis for putting forward the PNM strategy.