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Contemporary analyses focused on a limited number of clinical and molecular biomarkers have been unable to accurately predict clinical outcomes in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma. Here we describe a precision medicine platform known as the Molecular Twin consisting of advanced machine-learning models and use it to analyze a dataset of 6,363 clinical and multi-omic molecular features from patients with resected pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma to accurately predict disease survival (DS). We show that a full multi-omic model predicts DS with the highest accuracy and that plasma protein is the top single-omic predictor of DS. A parsimonious model learning only 589 multi-omic features demonstrated similar predictive performance as the full multi-omic model. Our platform enables discovery of parsimonious biomarker panels and performance assessment of outcome prediction models learning from resource-intensive panels. This approach has considerable potential to impact clinical care and democratize precision cancer medicine worldwide.
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Arsen Osipov
Ognjen Nikolic
Arkadiusz Gertych
Nature Cancer
Johns Hopkins University
Cedars-Sinai Medical Center
Cedars-Sinai Smidt Heart Institute
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Osipov et al. (Mon,) studied this question.
www.synapsesocial.com/papers/69dff95c1827a1d0b1255bfb — DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43018-023-00697-7
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