Evaluation of therapeutic effect and prognostic value of 18F-FDG PET/CT in different treatment nodes of DLBCL patients

Abstract Background In the present study, we aimed to investigate the role of baseline (B), interim (I) and end-of-treatment (Eot) 18 F-FDG PET/CT in assessing the prognosis of diffuse large B cell lymphoma (DLBCL), so as to identify patients who need intensive treatment at an early stage. Methods A total of 127 DLBCL patients (62 men; 65 women; median age 62 years) were retrospectively analyzed in this study. Baseline ( n = 127), interim ( n = 127, after 3–4 cycles) and end-of-treatment ( n = 53, after 6–8 cycles) PET/CT images were re-evaluated; semi-quantitative parameters such as maximum standardized uptake value of lesion-to-liver ratio (SUVmax (LLR) ) and lesion-to-mediastinum ratio (SUVmax (LMR) ), total metabolic tumor volume (TMTV) and total metabolic tumor volume (TLG) were recorded. ΔTLG 1 was the change of interim relative to baseline TLG (I to B), ΔTLG 2 (Eot to B). ΔSUVmax and ΔTMTV were the same algorithm. The visual Deauville 5-point scale (D-5PS) has been adopted as the major criterion for PET evaluation. Visual analysis (VA) and semi-quantitative parameters were assessed for the ability to predict progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) by using Kaplan–Meier method, cox regression and logistic regression analysis. When visual and semi-quantitative analysis are combined, the result is only positive if both are positive. Results At a median follow-up of 34 months, the median PFS and OS were 20 and 32 months. The survival curve analysis showed that advanced stage and IPI score with poor prognosis, ΔSUVmax (LLR) 1 < 89.2%, ΔTMTV 1 < 91.8% and ΔTLG 1 < 98.8%, ΔSUVmax (LLR) 2 < 86.4% were significantly related to the shortening of PFS in patient ( p < 0.05). ΔSUVmax (LLR) 1 < 83.2% and ΔTLG 1 < 97.6% were significantly correlated with the shortening of OS in patients ( p < 0.05). Visual analysis showed that incomplete metabolic remission at I-PET and Eot-PET increased the risk of progress and death. In terms of predicting recurrence by I-PET, the combination of visual and semi-quantitative parameters showed higher positive predictive value (PPV) and specificity than a single index. Conclusion Three to four cycles of R-CHOP treatment may be a time point for early prediction of early recurrence/refractory (R/R) patients and active preemptive treatment. Combined visual analysis with semi-quantitative parameters of 18 F-FDG PET/CT at interim can improve prognostic accuracy and may allow for more precise screening of patients requiring early intensive therapy.