Serum PRO‐C3 is useful for risk prediction and fibrosis assessment in MAFLD with chronic kidney disease in an Asian cohort

Abstract Background Metabolic dysfunction‐associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is an emerging risk factor for chronic kidney disease (CKD). N‐terminal propeptide of collagen type 3 (PRO‐C3) is a biomarker of advanced fibrosis in MAFLD and PRO‐C3 may be involved in renal fibrosis. We aimed to use PRO‐C3 measurements to generate a new algorithmic score to test the prediction of MAFLD with chronic kidney disease (MAFLD–CKD). Methods A derivation and independent validation cohort of 750 and 129 Asian patients with biopsy‐confirmed MAFLD were included. Serum PRO‐C3 concentration was measured and regression analyses were performed to examine associations with MAFLD–CKD. A derivative algorithm for MAFLD–CKD risk prediction was evaluated with receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Results The study included two Asian cohorts ( n = 180 with MAFLD–CKD; mean‐eGFR: 94.93 mL/min/1.73 m 2 ; median‐urinary albumin‐to‐creatinine ratio: 6.58 mg/mmol). PRO‐C3 was associated with the severity of MAFLD‐CKD and independently associated with MAFLD–CKD (adjusted odds ratio = 1.16, 95% confidence interval CI: 1.08–1.23, p < .001). A new non‐invasive score (termed PERIOD) including PRO‐C3 efficiently predicted MAFLD‐CKD (AUROC = .842, 95% CI: .805–.875). Accuracy, specificity and negative predictive values were 80.2%, 85.1% and 88.4%, respectively. In the validation cohort, the PERIOD score had good diagnostic performance (AUROC = .807, 95% CI: .691–.893) with similar results in all patient subgroups. In the MAFLD–CKD subgroup, the accuracy for identifying advanced fibrosis was further improved by combining the PRO‐C3‐based ADAPT with the Agile 3+ scores (AUROC = .90, 95% CI: .836–.964). Conclusions The PERIOD score is helpful for accurately predicting the risk of MAFLD–CKD. PRO‐C3 can also be used to assess liver fibrosis in people with MAFLD–CKD.