Non-invasive prediction for pathologic complete response to neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy in lung cancer using CT-based deep learning: a multicenter study

Neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy has revolutionized the therapeutic strategy for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), and identifying candidates likely responding to this advanced treatment is of important clinical significance. The current multi-institutional study aims to develop a deep learning model to predict pathologic complete response (pCR) to neoadjuvant immunotherapy in NSCLC based on computed tomography (CT) imaging and further prob the biologic foundation of the proposed deep learning signature. A total of 248 participants administrated with neoadjuvant immunotherapy followed by surgery for NSCLC at Ruijin Hospital, Ningbo Hwamei Hospital, and Affiliated Hospital of Zunyi Medical University from January 2019 to September 2023 were enrolled. The imaging data within 2 weeks prior to neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy were retrospectively extracted. Patients from Ruijin Hospital were grouped as the training set (n = 104) and the validation set (n = 69) at the 6:4 ratio, and other participants from Ningbo Hwamei Hospital and Affiliated Hospital of Zunyi Medical University served as an external cohort (n = 75). For the entire population, pCR was obtained in 29.4% (n = 73) of cases. The areas under the curve (AUCs) of our deep learning signature for pCR prediction were 0.775 (95% confidence interval CI: 0.649 - 0.901) and 0.743 (95% CI: 0.618 - 0.869) in the validation set and the external cohort, significantly superior than 0.579 (95% CI: 0.468 - 0.689) and 0.569 (95% CI: 0.454 - 0.683) of the clinical model. Furthermore, higher deep learning scores correlated to the upregulation for pathways of cell metabolism and more antitumor immune infiltration in microenvironment. Our developed deep learning model is capable of predicting pCR to neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy in patients with NSCLC.