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Background The effects of bempedoic acid in the secondary prevention setting have not been examined. Methods We used data from the overall and primary prevention reports of CLEAR – Outcomes to reconstruct data for the secondary prevention population. A Bayesian analyses was employed to calculate the posterior probability of benefit or harm for the outcomes of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Relative effect sizes are presented as risk ratios (RR) with 95% credible intervals (CrI), which represent the intervals that true effect sizes are expected to fall in with 95% probability, given the priors and model. Results In primary prevention, the posterior probability of bempedoic acid decreasing all-cause and cardiovascular mortality was 99.4% (RR: 0.70; 95% CrI: 0.51 to 0.92) and 99.7% (RR: 0.58; 95% CrI: 0.38 to 0.86) respectively. In secondary prevention, the posterior probability of bempedoic acid increasing all-cause and cardiovascular mortality was 96.6% (RR: 1.15; 95% CrI: 0.99 to 1.33) and 97.2% (RR: 1.21; 95% CrI: 1.00 to 1.45) respectively. The probability of bemepdoic acid reducing MACE in the primary and secondary prevention settings was 99.9% (RR: 0.70; 95% CrI: 0.54 to 0.88) and 95.8% (RR: 0.92; 95% CrI: 0.84 to 1.01) respectively. Conclusion In contrast to its effect in the primary prevention subgroup of CLEAR – Outcomes, bempedoic acid resulted in a more modest MACE reduction and a potential increase in mortality in the secondary prevention subgroup. Whether these findings represent true treatment effect heterogeneity or the play of chance requires further evidence.
Sayed et al. (Sun,) studied this question.