Prediction of various insulin resistance indices for the risk of hypertension among military young adults: the CHIEF cohort study, 2014–2020

Abstract Background Non-insulin-based insulin resistance (NI-IR) indices have been reported to have an association with prevalent hypertension, however, no cohort studies to date have compared their prediction of hypertension among young adults. Methods A total of 2,448 military men and women, aged 18–39 years, without baseline hypertension in Taiwan were followed for incident hypertension events from 2014 until the end of 2020. All subjects underwent annual health examinations including measurements of blood pressure (BP) in mmHg. Systolic BP (SBP) 130–139/diastolic BP (DBP) < 80, SBP < 130/DBP 80–89, and SBP 130–139/DBP 80–89 were respectively defined as stage I isolated systolic hypertension (ISH), isolated diastolic hypertension (IDH) and combined hypertension (CH). The cut-off levels of stage II hypertension for SBP and DBP were 140–159 and 90–99, respectively. Four NI-IR indices included the ratio of serum triglycerides (TG) to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), TyG index defined as lnTG* fasting glucose (FG)/2, Metabolic Score for IR (METS-IR) defined as ln(2* FG) + TG)* body mass index (BMI)/(ln(HDL-C)), and ZJU index defined as BMI + FG + TG + 3* alanine transaminase/aspartate transaminase (+ 2 if female). Multivariable Cox regression analysis was performed with adjustments for baseline age, sex, body mass index, BP, substance use, family history for early onset cardiovascular diseases or hypertension, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, kidney function, serum uric acid and physical activity to determine the associations. Results During a median follow-up of 6.0 years, there were 920 hypertension events (37.6%). Greater TyG, TG/HDL-C and METS-IR indices were associated with a higher risk of stage I IDH (hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals: 1.376 (1.123–1.687), 1.082 (1.039–1.127) and 3.455 (1.921–6.214), respectively), whereas only greater ZJU index was associated with a higher risk of stage II IDH HRs: 1.011 (1.001–1.021). In addition, greater ZJU index was associated with a higher risk of stage II ISH HR: 1.013 (1.003–1.023), and greater TyG index was associated with a higher risk of stage II CH HR: 2.821 (1.244–6.395). Conclusion Insulin resistance assessed by various NI-IR indices was associated with a higher risk of hypertension in young adults, while the assessment ability for specific hypertension category may differ by NI-IR indices.