Forecast constraints on the baryonic feedback effect from the future kinetic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich effect detection

Abstract The baryonic feedback effect is an important systematic error in the weak lensing (WL) analysis. It contributes partly to the S 8 tension in the literature. With the next generations of large scale structure (LSS) and CMB experiments, the high signal-to-noise kinetic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich (kSZ) effect detection can tightly constrain the baryon distribution in and around dark matter halos, and quantify the baryonic effect in the weak lensing statistics. In this work, we apply the Fisher matrix technique to predict the future kSZ constraints on 3 kSZ-sensitive Baryon Correction Model (BCM) parameters. Our calculations show that, in combination with next generation LSS surveys, the 3rd generation CMB experiments such as AdvACT and Simon Observatory can constrain the matter power spectrum damping S ( k ) to the precision of σ S ( k ) < 0.8%√(37.8 Gpc 3 h -3 -3/ V ) at k ≲ 10 h /Mpc, where V is the overlapped survey volume between the future LSS and CMB surveys. For the 4th generation CMB surveys such as CMB-S4 and CMB-HD, the constraint will be enhanced to σ S ( k ) < 0.4%√(37.8 Gpc 3 h -3 / V ). If extra-observations, e.g. X-ray detection and thermal SZ observation, can effectively fix the gas density profile slope parameter δ , the constraint on S ( k ) will be further boosted to σ S ( k ) < 0.3%√(37.8 Gpc 3 h -3 / V ) and σ S ( k ) < 0.1%√(37.8 Gpc 3 h -3 / V ) for the 3rd and 4th generation CMB surveys.