Overall Survival in Patients with Esophageal Cancer and Clinical Complete Response after Radio Chemotherapy: Should a Watchful Waiting Strategy be the new Standard of Care?

Abstract Background The current standard of care for curative treatment of esophageal cancer (EC) consists of neoadjuvant radio chemotherapy (RCT) followed by resection. However, an organ-sparing approach with a watchful waiting (WW) strategy and resection only in case of cancer recurrence is gaining importance in patients with clinical complete response (cCR) after RCT. Nevertheless, data on overall survival, particularly in subgroups with and without tumor recurrence, is limited. Aims To compare overall survival (OS) rates in patients with cCR based on initial management and at time of recurrence. Methods We retrospectively analyzed data from all patients with EC and cCR to RCT between 01/2014 and 12/2021. OS- and disease-free survival was calculated using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. Results Of 96 patients with cCR after RCT, 45 underwent resection (47%), and 51 (53%) a WW approach. There were no significant differences in baseline patient or tumor characteristics. In the WW group, 28 patients (55%) had cancer recurrence. Of those, 11 patients (of 28, 39%) underwent either salvage esophagectomy or endoscopic submucosal dissection in curative intent. No significant difference in OS could be detected in patients with WW and either no recurrence or recurrence treated in curative intention (p=0.716). Further, OS was significantly longer in those patients than in patients with primary resection (p=0.031) and WW patients with recurrence and palliative treatment (p0.001). (Fig 1). Conclusion In a WW concept for patients with EC and cCR after RCT, patients with cancer recurrence can achieve the same OS as patients without recurrence if treated in curative intention. Moreover, OS in both those patient groups was superior to that of patients undergoing direct resection after RCT, supporting a WW approach as at least safe and applicable in clinical practice. Further prospective data are needed to determine the value of WW as standard of care for patients with cCR following neoadjuvant RCT.