MRI radiomics based on deep learning automated segmentation to predict early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma

Abstract Objectives To investigate the utility of deep learning (DL) automated segmentation-based MRI radiomic features and clinical-radiological characteristics in predicting early recurrence after curative resection of single hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Methods This single-center, retrospective study included consecutive patients with surgically proven HCC who underwent contrast-enhanced MRI before curative hepatectomy from December 2009 to December 2021. Using 3D U-net-based DL algorithms, automated segmentation of the liver and HCC was performed on six MRI sequences. Radiomic features were extracted from the tumor, tumor border extensions (5 mm, 10 mm, and 20 mm), and the liver. A hybrid model incorporating the optimal radiomic signature and preoperative clinical-radiological characteristics was constructed via Cox regression analyses for early recurrence. Model discrimination was characterized with C-index and time-dependent area under the receiver operating curve (tdAUC) and compared with the widely-adopted BCLC and CNLC staging systems. Results Four hundred and thirty-four patients (median age, 52.0 years; 376 men) were included. Among all radiomic signatures, HCC with 5 mm tumor border ex tension and liver showed the optimal predictive performance (training set C-index, 0.696). By incorporating this radiomic signature, rim arterial phase hyperenhancement (APHE), and incomplete tumor “capsule,” a hybrid model demonstrated a validation set C-index of 0.706 and superior 2-year tdAUC (0.743) than both the BCLC (0.550; p < 0.001) and CNLC (0.635; p = 0.032) systems. This model stratified patients into two prognostically distinct risk strata (both datasets p < 0.001). Conclusion A preoperative imaging model incorporating the DL automated segmentation-based radiomic signature with rim APHE and incomplete tumor “capsule” accurately predicted early postsurgical recurrence of a single HCC. Critical relevance statement The DL automated segmentation-based MRI radiomic model with rim APHE and incomplete tumor “capsule” hold the potential to facilitate individualized risk estimation of postsurgical early recurrence in a single HCC. Key Points A hybrid model integrating MRI radiomic signature was constructed for early recurrence prediction of HCC. The hybrid model demonstrated superior 2-year AUC than the BCLC and CNLC systems. The model categorized the low-risk HCC group carried longer RFS. Graphical Abstract