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Objective The aim of this study is to estimate the indirect economic burden of 22 cancer types in Jordan using both the human capital approach (HCA) and the value of a statistical life year (VSLY) approach. Additionally, this study aims to forecast the burden of these cancers for the next 5 years while employing time series analysis. Design Retrospective observational study with a time series analysis. Participants Disability adjusted life years records from the IHME Global Burden Disease estimates 2019 data. Primary outcome measure Indirect economic burden of cancer in Jordan. Results The mean total economic burden for all cancers is estimated to be 1. 82 billion using HCA and 3. 13 billion using VSLY approach. The cancers contributing most to the total burden are ‘tracheal, bronchus and lung cancer’ (359. 5 million HCA, 618. 3 million VSLY), followed by ‘colon and rectum cancer’ (300. 6 million HCA, 517. 1 million VSLY) and ‘breast cancer’ (292. 4 million HCA, 502. 9 million VSLY). The indirect economic burden ranged from 1. 4% to 2. 1% of the gross domestic product (GDP) using the HCA, and from 2. 3% to 3. 6% of the GDP using the VSLY approach. The indirect economic burden is expected to reach 2. 3 and 3. 5 billion Intl by the year 2025 using the HCA and VSLY approach, respectively. Conclusion The indirect economic burden of cancer in Jordan amounted to 1. 4%–3. 6% of total GDP, with tracheal, bronchus and lung cancer; colon and rectum cancer; and breast cancer contributing to over 50% of the total burden. This will help set national cancer spending priorities following Jordan’s economic modernisation vision with regard to maximising health economic outcomes.
Omar Rashdan (Sat,) studied this question.