Subclinical hypothyroidism predicts outcome in heart failure: insights from the T.O.S.CA. registry

Abstract Subclinical hypothyroidism (SH), defined as increased serum thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) with normal free T4 (fT4) levels, is frequently observed in the general population. Prevalence ranges from 0.6% to 1.8% in the adult population, depending on age, sex, and iodine intake. Several studies reported a worse prognosis in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) and SH, but they considered heterogeneous populations suffering mainly from severe SH. Aim of this study was to evaluate if SH was independently associated with the occurrence of cardiovascular death considering 30 months of follow-up. 277 HFrEF patients enrolled in the prospective, multicenter, observational T.O.S.CA. (Terapia Ormonale Scompenso CArdiaco) registry, were included in this analysis. Patients were divided into two groups according to the presence of SH (serum TSH levels > 4.5 mIU/L with normal fT4 levels). Data regarding clinical status, echocardiography, and survival were analyzed. Twenty-three patients displayed SH (87% mild vs 13% severe), while 254 were euthyroid. No differences were found in terms of age, sex, HF etiology, and left ventricular ejection fraction. When compared with the euthyroid group, SH patients showed higher TSH levels (7.7 ± 4.1 vs 1.6 ± 0.9, p < 0.001), as expected, with comparable levels of fT4 (1.3 ± 0.3 vs 1.3 ± 0.3, p = NS). When corrected for established predictors of poor outcome in HF, the presence of SH resulted to be an independent predictor of cardiovascular mortality (HR: 2.96; 5–95% CI:1.13–7.74; p = 0.03). Since thyroid tests are widely available and inexpensive, they should be performed in HF patients to detect subclinical disorders, evaluate replacement therapy, and improve prognosis.