Estimating Leaf Chlorophyll Content of Winter Wheat from UAV Multispectral Images Using Machine Learning Algorithms under Different Species, Growth Stages, and Nitrogen Stress Conditions

The rapid and accurate estimation of leaf chlorophyll content (LCC), an important indicator of crop photosynthetic capacity and nutritional status, is of great significance for precise nitrogen fertilization management. To explore the existence of a versatile regression model that can be successfully used to estimate the LCC for different varieties under different growth stages and nitrogen stress conditions, a study was conducted in 2023 across the growing season for winter wheat with five species and five nitrogen application levels. Two machine learning regression algorithms, support vector machine (SVM) and random forest (RF), were used to establish the bridge between UAV-derived multispectral vegetation indices and ground truth LCC (relative chlorophyll content, SPAD), taking the multivariate linear regression (MLR) algorithm as a reference. The results show that the visible atmospherically resistant index, vegetative index, and normalized difference vegetation index had the highest correlation with ground truth LCC, with a Pearson’s correlation coefficient of 0.95. All three regression algorithms (MLR, RF, and SVM) performed well on the training dataset (R2: 0.932–0.944, RMSE: 3.96 to 4.37), but performed differently on validation datasets with different growth stages, species, and nitrogen application levels. Compared to winter wheat species and nitrogen application levels, the growth stages had the greatest influence on the generalization ability of LCC estimation models, especially for the dough stage. At the dough stage, compared to MLR and RF, SVM performed best, with R2 increasing by 0.27 and 0.10, respectively, and RMSE decreasing by 1.13 and 0.46, respectively. Overall, this study demonstrated that the combination of UAV-derived multispectral VIs and the SVM regression algorithm could be successfully applied to map the LCC of winter wheat for different species, growth stages, and nitrogen stress conditions. Ultimately, this research is significant as it shows the successful application of UAV data for mapping the LCC of winter wheat across diverse conditions, offering valuable insights for precision nitrogen fertilization management.