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Trading in cryptocurrencies grew rapidly over the last decade, dominated by retail investors. Using data from eToro, we show that retail traders are contrarian in stocks and gold, yet the same traders follow a momentum-like strategy in cryptocurrencies. The differences are not explained by individual characteristics, investor composition, inattention, differences in fees, or preference for lottery-like assets. We conjecture that retail investors have a model where cryptocurrency price changes affect the likelihood of future widespread adoption, which leads them to further update their price expectations in the same direction.
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Shimon Kogan
Brandman University
Igor Makarov
Northern (Arctic) Federal University
Marina Niessner
Indiana University
Journal of Financial Economics
London School of Economics and Political Science
Indiana University
New School
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Kogan et al. (Sat,) studied this question.
synapsesocial.com/papers/68e61294b6db6435875a55ca — DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2024.103897