Deep learning for prediction of post-thrombectomy outcomes based on admission CT angiography in large vessel occlusion stroke

Purpose Computed Tomography Angiography (CTA) is the first line of imaging in the diagnosis of Large Vessel Occlusion (LVO) strokes. We trained and independently validated end-to-end automated deep learning pipelines to predict 3-month outcomes after anterior circulation LVO thrombectomy based on admission CTAs. Methods We split a dataset of 591 patients into training/cross-validation (n = 496) and independent test set (n = 95). We trained separate models for outcome prediction based on admission “CTA” images alone, “CTA + Treatment” (including time to thrombectomy and reperfusion success information), and “CTA + Treatment + Clinical” (including admission age, sex, and NIH stroke scale). A binary (favorable) outcome was defined based on a 3-month modified Rankin Scale ≤ 2. The model was trained on our dataset based on the pre-trained ResNet-50 3D Convolutional Neural Network (“MedicalNet”) and included CTA preprocessing steps. Results We generated an ensemble model from the 5-fold cross-validation, and tested it in the independent test cohort, with receiver operating characteristic area under the curve (AUC, 95% confidence interval) of 70 (0.59–0.81) for “CTA,” 0.79 (0.70–0.89) for “CTA + Treatment,” and 0.86 (0.79–0.94) for “CTA + Treatment + Clinical” input models. A “Treatment + Clinical” logistic regression model achieved an AUC of 0.86 (0.79–0.93). Conclusion Our results show the feasibility of an end-to-end automated model to predict outcomes from admission and post-thrombectomy reperfusion success. Such a model can facilitate prognostication in telehealth transfer and when a thorough neurological exam is not feasible due to language barrier or pre-existing morbidities.