Understanding Two Decades of Turbidity Dynamics in a Coral Triangle Hotspot: The Berau Coastal Shelf

Turbidity serves as a crucial indicator of coastal water health and productivity. Twenty years of remote sensing data (2003–2022) from the Aqua Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) satellite were used to analyze the spatial and temporal variations in turbidity, as measured by total suspended matter (TSM), in the Berau Coastal Shelf (BCS), East Kalimantan, Indonesia. The BCS encompasses the estuary of the Berau River and is an integral part of the Coral Triangle, renowned for its rich marine and coastal habitats, including coral reefs, mangroves, and seagrasses. The aim of this research is to comprehend the seasonal and interannual patterns of turbidity and their associations with met-ocean parameters, such as wind, rainfall, and climate variations like the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD). The research findings indicate that the seasonal spatial pattern of turbidity is strongly influenced by monsoon winds, while its temporal patterns are closely related to river discharge and rainfall. The ENSO and IOD climate cycles exert an influence on the interannual turbidity variations, with turbidity values decreasing during La Niña and negative IOD events and conversely increasing during El Niño and positive IOD events. Furthermore, the elevated turbidity during negative IOD and La Niña coincides with rising temperatures, potentially acting as a compound stressor on marine habitats. These findings significantly enhance our understanding of turbidity dynamics in the BCS, thereby supporting the management of marine and coastal ecosystems in the face of changing climatic and environmental conditions.