Modeling unsaturated hydraulic conductivity of compacted bentonite using a constrained CatBoost with bootstrap analysis

Accurately determining the hydraulic conductivity of unsaturated bentonite is important for modeling subsurface thermo-hydro-mechanical and chemical processes. This study introduced a new hybrid model that employs a constrained categorial boosting (CatBoost) algorithm, combined with a genetic algorithm for hyperparameter tuning, to estimate the hydraulic conductivity of unsaturated compacted bentonite The performance of the constrained CatBoost model was benchmarked against a diverse set of data-driven baseline regression models, including lasso, elastic net, polynomial, k-nearest neighbors, decision tree, bagging tree, random forest, and CatBoost. The results indicated that the constrained CatBoost model offers a superior balance between model robustness and predictive accuracy in estimating the hydraulic conductivity of compacted bentonite-based materials during the wetting phase. The model effectively captured the U-shape relationship between hydraulic conductivity and suction, a key characteristic of bentonite behavior. Additionally, bootstrapping analyses confirmed the model's reliability under data variability, further validating its applicability in environmental and geotechnical applications.