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Ethno-political conflicts and territorial disputes in the Caucasus have historically been prevalent due to the coexistence of multiple ethno-political cultures in the region. The Azerbaijan-Armenia confrontation over Nagorno-Karabakh holds significant political implications for regional and global security dynamics. Apart from Russia, Turkey, Iran, and Israel emerge as crucial regional actors involved in the conflict. Russia has long defended its national interests in the Caucasus, yet Azerbaijan currently asserts its autonomy, employing force with the backing of regional power Turkey. Baku’s assertive policies reflect increased confidence in reunification with Turkey. Under these complex conditions, predicting the future directions of Russia’s foreign relations in the region, where existing alliances and partnerships take on new dimensions, poses challenges.
Bolgov et al. (Wed,) studied this question.