U-shaped association between triglyceride glucose-body mass index with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in US adults with osteoarthritis: evidence from NHANES 1999–2020

The association between insulin resistance (IR) and the risk of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality among osteoarthritis (OA) patients remains uncertain. This study aims to clarify the correlation between a novel marker of IR, the triglyceride glucose-body mass index (TyG-BMI), and the risk of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality in OA patients. Data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) spanning from 1999 to 2020 were analyzed. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analysis and restricted cubic spline plots were employed to elucidate the association between the TyG-BMI index and the risk of all-cause mortality or cardiovascular mortality in OA patients. Additionally, subgroup analysis was conducted to explore potential interactions and identify populations at elevated risk of mortality. The study cohort comprised 4097 OA patients who were followed up for a period of 20 years, during which 1197 cases of all-cause mortality and 329 cases of mortality attributed to cardiovascular disease were recorded. Our findings revealed a U-shaped nonlinear relationship between the TyG-BMI index and the risk of all-cause mortality or cardiovascular mortality in OA patients, with the lowest mortality risk thresholds identified at 282 and 270, respectively. Moreover, surpassing these thresholds was associated with a 3% increase in the risk of all-cause mortality and a 5% increase in the risk of cardiovascular mortality for every 10-unit increment in TyG-BMI level. Among American OA patients, a U-shaped nonlinear relationship exists between the TyG-BMI index and the risk of all-cause mortality or cardiovascular mortality. These findings underscore the significant role of IR in the progression of OA.