Clinicopathological factors predicting pathological complete response to neoadjuvant anti-HER2 therapy in HER2-positive breast cancer

Introduction Human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-targeted therapies have shown effectiveness against HER2-positive breast cancer. This makes neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) a valuable option for treating both early and advanced stages of the disease. The tumor’s response to HER2-targeted NAC provides crucial prognostic information. Additionally, it allows for tailoring adjuvant treatment strategies for HER2+ breast cancer based on pathological responses. This study aimed to investigate the clinicopathological factors that influence tumor response. Methods We retrospectively analyzed 122 patients diagnosed with HER2+ breast cancer. These patients received NAC and HER2-directed therapy between January 2018 and December 2022 at the Pusan National University Yangsan Hospital. Following surgery, tumor response was evaluated, categorizing patients into two groups: pathological complete response (pCR) and non-pCR groups. We analyzed data on various factors, including age, NAC regimen, type of breast and axillary surgery, clinical stage (cTNM), historical grade, and pre-operative levels of carcinoembryonic antigen, cancer antigen 15-3 (CA 15-3), estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PR), HER2, p53, and KI-67. Results Out of the 122 patients, 75 achieved pCR, while 47 did not. Most clinicopathological factors showed no significant difference between the pCR and non-pCR groups. However, several factors were associated with a higher pCR rate: normal preoperative CA 15-3 levels (odds ratio OR: 3.74, confidence interval CI: 1.19–11.72, P = 0.02), preoperative-ER positivity (OR: 2.65, CI: 1.25–5.59, P = 0.01), PR negativity (OR: 3.92, CI: 1.82–8.45, P 0.05), and strong preoperative HER2 immunohistochemistry (IHC) 3+ staining. Multivariate analysis confirmed that PR negativity (OR: 2.8, CI: 1.23–6.42, P = 0.01) and strong preoperative-HER2 IHC 3+ staining (OR: 0.18, CI: 0.03–0.84, P = 0.04) were independent predictors of a higher pCR rate. Conclusions A pCR after NAC impacts patient prognosis and influences the choice of adjuvant treatment for HER2+ breast cancer. Clinicopathological factors can help predict responses to HER2-targeted NAC. In our study, pre-ER/PR negativity, high pre-HER2 levels, and normal CA 15-3 levels were found to be potential predictors of pCR. These findings may contribute to developing more effective treatment strategies for HER2+ breast cancer.