Unlocking nitrogen management potential via large-scale farming for air quality and substantial Co-benefits

ABSTRACT China's sustained air quality improvement is hindered by unregulated ammonia (NH3) emissions from inefficient nitrogen management in smallholder farming. Although the Chinese government is promoting a policy shift to large-scale farming, the benefits of this, when integrated with nitrogen management, remain unclear. Here we fill this gap using an integrated assessment, by combining geostatistical analysis, high-resolution emission inventories, farm surveys and air quality modeling. Smallholder-dominated farming allows only 13%–31% NH3 reduction, leading to limited PM2. 5 decreases nationally due to non-linear PM2. 5 chemistry. Conversely, large-scale farming would double nitrogen management adoption rates, increasing NH3 reduction potential to 48%–58% and decreasing PM2. 5 by 9. 4–14. 0 μg·m−3 in polluted regions. The estimated PM2. 5 reduction is conservative due to localized NH3-rich conditions under large-scale livestock farming. This strategy could prevent over 300 000 premature deaths and achieve a net benefit of US 68. 4–86. 8 billion annually, unlocking immense benefits for air quality and agricultural sustainability.