Cut‐off value for the posterior tibial slope indicating the risk for retear of the anterior cruciate ligament

PURPOSE: The significance of the posterior tibial slope (PTS) has increasingly come into focus in anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) reconstruction being a risk factor for ACL graft failure. Nevertheless, inconsistent data on the critical value of the PTS exist. The purpose of this study was to define a cut-off value for the PTS in ACL surgery. METHODS: In a retrospective cohort study, 350 revision ACL reconstructions (ACL-RR) with a failed ACL hamstring graft and 350 primary ACL reconstructions (ACL-R) were matched according to age, gender, concomitant injuries and graft characteristics and compared to a healthy control group. Using the proximal anatomic axis, lateral knee radiographs were evaluated for the PTS, interrater reliability was defined, ROC curves, Fischer's exact test and Baptista-Pike method were applied to define specificity and the odds ratio for a critical PTS value. RESULTS: Radiographic evaluation proved excellent interrater reliability (intraclass correlation coefficient 0.969). Evaluation of the PTS revealed 10.0 ± 2.2 (5-15) degrees in the ACL-RR group, 7.8 ± 1.8 (4.2-13) degrees in the ACL-R group and 6.6 ± 1.9 (3.6-12) degrees in the control group with significant differences between the groups (p < 0.001). A PTS value of 10.1 degrees proved a specificity of 98% for the prediction of an ACL graft failure and indicated an 11-fold risk for a retear of the ACL. CONCLUSION: A PTS exceeding 10.1 degrees carries an 11-fold risk for ACL graft failure and, therefore, should be considered in ACL reconstruction. These findings might serve as a cut-off value for the indication of a slope-reducing high tibial osteotomy in ACL surgery. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III.