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A bstract We present an updated global analysis of neutrino oscillation data as of September 2024. The parameters θ 12, θ 13, m₂₁² ∆ m 21 2, and m₃² ∣ ∆ m 3 ℓ 2 ∣ (ℓ = 1, 2) are well-determined with relative precision at 3 σ of about 13%, 8%, 15%, and 6%, respectively. The third mixing angle θ 23 still suffers from the octant ambiguity, with no clear indication of whether it is larger or smaller than 45 °. The determination of the leptonic CP phase δ CP depends on the neutrino mass ordering: for normal ordering the global fit is consistent with CP conservation within 1 σ, whereas for inverted ordering CP-violating values of δ CP around 270 ° are favored against CP conservation at more than 3. 6 σ. While the present data has in principle 2. 5–3 σ sensitivity to the neutrino mass ordering, there are different tendencies in the global data that reduce the discrimination power: T2K and NOvA appearance data individually favor normal ordering, but they are more consistent with each other for inverted ordering. Conversely, the joint determination of m₃² ∣ ∆ m 3 ℓ 2 ∣ from global disappearance data prefers normal ordering. Altogether, the global fit including long-baseline, reactor and IceCube atmospheric data results into an almost equally good fit for both orderings. Only when the χ 2 table for atmospheric neutrino data from Super-Kamiokande is added to our χ 2, the global fit prefers normal ordering with ∆ χ 2 = 6. 1. We provide also updated ranges and correlations for the effective parameters sensitive to the absolute neutrino mass from β -decay, neutrinoless double-beta decay, and cosmology.
Esteban et al. (Mon,) studied this question.
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