GRU-Based Deep Learning Framework for Real-Time, Accurate, and Scalable UAV Trajectory Prediction

Trajectory prediction is critical for ensuring the safety, reliability, and scalability of Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) in urban environments. Despite advances in deep learning, existing methods often struggle with dynamic UAV conditions, such as rapid directional changes and limited forecasting horizons, while lacking comprehensive real-time validation and generalization capabilities. This study addresses these challenges by proposing a gated recurrent unit (GRU) -based deep learning framework optimized through LookBack and ForwardLength labeling to capture complex temporal patterns. The model demonstrated state-of-the-art performance, surpassing existing unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV) and aircraft trajectory prediction approaches, including FlightBERT++, in terms of both accuracy and robustness. It achieved reliable long-range predictions up to 4 s, and its real-time feasibility was validated due to its efficient resource utilization. The model’s generalization capability was confirmed through evaluations on two independent UAV datasets, where it consistently predicted unseen trajectories with high accuracy. These findings highlight the model’s ability to handle rapid maneuvers, extend prediction horizons, and generalize across platforms. This work establishes a robust trajectory prediction framework with practical applications in collision avoidance, mission planning, and anti-drone systems, paving the way for safer and more scalable UAV operations.