Mapping Illegal Dumping Sites in a Low-Resource Region Using GIS and Remote Sensing: The Case of Blantyre City, Malawi

Malawi’s Blantyre City faces escalating waste management challenges due to increased urbanization and inadequate waste collection services. This research utilized remote sensing (RS) and geographic information system (GIS) techniques to map potential illegal dump sites (PIDSs). MODIS and Sentinel-5P satellite imagery and GPS locations of dumpsites were used to extract environmental and spatial variables, including land surface temperature (LST), the enhanced vegetation index (EVI), Formaldehyde (HCHO), and distances from highways, rivers, and official dumps. An analytical hierarchical process (AHP) pairwise comparison matrix was used to assign weights for the six-factor variables. Further, fuzzy logic was applied, and weighted overlay analysis was used to generate the PIDS map. The results indicated that 10.27% of the study area has a “very high” probability of illegal dumping, while only 2% exhibited a “very low” probability. Validation with field data showed that the GIS and RS were effective, as about 89% of the illegal dumping sites were identified. Zonal statistics identified rivers as the most significant contributor to PIDS identification. The findings of this study underscore the significance of mapping PIDS in low-resource regions like Blantyre, Malawi, where inadequate waste management and illegal dumping are prevalent. Future studies should consider additional factors and account for seasonal variations.